2. What is RoC*RoI?

Introduction

To predict the likelihood of an offender committing further offences, the RoC*RoI (risk of reconviction/risk of imprisonment) tool is used.

Definition: RoC*RoI

The RoC*RoI tool is a computer-based statistical model, available in IOMS, which uses an offender's criminal history and demographics to assess their risk of re-offending. It specifically predicts:

• an offender's probability of reconviction within the next five years
• the seriousness of the re-offending, and
• the likelihood of imprisonment.

RoC*RoI scores

The following table shows the level of risk associated with RoC*RoI scores and the related probability of imprisonment.

Factors

RoC*RoI will measure and weigh up the following factors:

• gender
• age at first conviction
• previous convictions and age at subsequent convictions
• time in the corrections system
• time between offences
• seriousness of previous offending
• type of previous offending, and
• current offence (only if it has been entered in the court management system (CMS)).

Note: The RoC*RoI score will change after sentencing as it will then include the current sentence.